User talk:75.108.94.227/arb chart two
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This is a ROUGH draft. It has not been check with the latest copies of the voter-guides, nor indeed, cross-checked and validated in any fashion. The actual voter-guides (linked below) are your best bet. 75.108.94.227 (talk) 19:58, 23 November 2015 (UTC)
guide \ candidate: | Cal. | Cas. | Drm. | Gam. | Gor. | Haw. | Hul. | Kei. | Kel. | Kev. | Kir. | Kud. | Lfa. | Mah. | Mar. | NEE. | Opa. | Ric. | Thr. | Tim. | Wil. | lastmod |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
~Prediction by pundits | ![]() 65.9% 5th |
![]() 90.9% 2nd |
![]() 87.2% 3rd |
![]() 28.6% 13th |
too low[a] 48.0% 9th |
![]() 5.3% 19th |
![]() 29.7% 11th |
![]() 63.6% 6th |
![]() 83.3% 4th |
![]() 13.0% 17th |
![]() 31.8% 10th |
![]() 52.2% 8th |
![]() 29.3% 12th |
![]() 0.0% 20th |
![]() 9.1% 18th |
![]() 59.1% 7th |
![]() 95.1% 1st |
![]() 28.6% 14th |
![]() 28.2% 15th |
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![]() 21.1% 16th |
20151128011825 |
AGK + | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
20151127135737 | |
Begoon + | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
meh | ![]() |
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Bishzilla + | ?? | ![]() |
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?? | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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20151123212850 | |
Boing!_said_Zebedee + | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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Carcharoth + | ![]() |
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Carrite + | ![]() |
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Collect[b] + | ![]() |
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"C" | ![]() |
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"C" | ![]() |
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noAns | ![]() |
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"C" | ![]() |
"C" | ![]() |
20151123221349 | |
Ealdgyth + | meh | ![]() |
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meh | meh | ![]() |
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meh | 20151123223416 | |
Elonka + | ![]() |
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20151123223416 | |
Fuzheado + | ![]() |
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blank | ![]() |
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blank | blank | ![]() |
blank | blank | ![]() |
blank | blank | blank | blank | blank | ![]() |
blank | blank | blank | 20151127135737 | |
HJ_Mitchell + | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
meh | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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Lady_Cath + | ![]() |
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MONGO + | ![]() |
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meh | meh | ![]() |
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meh | 20151123234347 | |
Peter_Damian + | ![]() |
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Pldx1 + | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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Reaper_Eternal + | meh | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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RegentsPark + | meh | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
meh | meh | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
meh | 20151126120955 | |
SB_Johnny + | ![]() |
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SilkTork[c] + | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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Sjakkalle + | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
meh | meh | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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meh | 20151126120955 | |
Smallbones + | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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The_owner_of_all + | Yes?[d] | ![]() |
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Tryptofish + | ![]() |
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Worm_That_Turned + | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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Yngvadottir + | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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meh | 20151127113943 |
'unofficial'[edit]
guide \ candidate: | Cal. | Cas. | Drm. | Gam. | Gor. | Haw. | Hul. | Kei. | Kel. | Kev. | Kir. | Kud. | Lfa. | Mah. | Mar. | NEE. | Opa. | Ric. | Thr. | Tim. | Wil. | lastmod |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ched[e] + | subst:20240628070253 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Floquenbeam | ![]() |
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20151123232456 |
Gerda_Arendt[f][1] | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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20151123232456 |
GuerilleroCite error: There are <ref> tags on this page without content in them (see the help page). |
subst:20240628070253 | |||||||||||||||||||||
MurderByDeadcopy[g] | ![]() |
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meh | meh | ![]() |
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20151124004932 |
Nick | ![]() |
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20151124004932 |
Salvidrim! | ![]() |
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meh | ![]() |
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WereSpielChequers | ![]() |
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meh | ?? | ?? | |
AuthorOfThisVoterGuide | subst:20240628070253 |
Notes[edit]
- ^ minimum threshold for winning a seat on WP:ARBCOM is 50% thus the pundits predict it is possible the 9th seat will be vacant.
- ^ I've rendered, partly following the lead of Ealdgyth's consolidated chart, Collects "recommends" as
++ and the "B_passes" are
, the "C_passes" are uncolored-passing, with the "fails" rendered as
.
- ^ The markings for SilkTork are *predictions* of the likelihood of successfully being elected, which is very different from *personal* support/neutral/oppose information that most voter-guides provide; apples and oranges, basically.
- ^ As the 10th-place choice, following the logic laid out in the strategy-section of this user's voter-guide, Callanecc would become a weak
for seat#9.
- ^ At the time of this writing, listed as an official voter-guide, but like Guerrillo, does not discuss any specific candidates by name, so moving to the 'unofficial' table for the nonce.
- ^ This is an exceedingly rough translation of Gerda's thinking, which necessarily involves a lot of guesswork and reading between the lines; she gives no explicit support-column, and no explicit oppose-column either. Those marked as
++ were ones where she boldfaced their answers as being supported, the others are mostly spectrum-guesstimates, which are then re-calibrated to vaguely match the available slots.
- ^ Sole criterion:
iff legitimately ever blocked, meh if candidate was at least test-blocked, and
for candidates with clean block-logs.